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inflation: Archive
Will Markets Settle Down? New CPI, Retail Sales, Q2 Earnings On Deck
by Mark Vickery
We have plenty of data between now and the next Fed meeting, but things are starting to get a little sunnier.
WMTPositive Net Change CSCOPositive Net Change EATNegative Net Change HDPositive Net Change BABANegative Net Change
banking earnings finance inflation interest-rate tech-stocks
Upstart Crushes Wall Street Expectations, Bucks the Trend
by Andrew Rocco
Upstart, an AI-based lending platform, stands to benefit from the current economic backdrop. With a recent earnings beat and a high short interest, shares have short squeeze potential over the next few months.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change UPSTNegative Net Change
inflation
The Fear Is Real: Pre-Markets Plummet on Jobs Numbers
by Mark Vickery
Once the Employment Situation numbers hit the tape this morning, three of the four major indices fell like a stone.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
Has the Recent Selling Bout Come to a Screeching Halt?
by Bryan Hayes
The latest volatility may be paving the way for an uptick heading into August.
AMZNNegative Net Change AAPLPositive Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate investing magnificent-7 tech-stocks
PPI Swells Higher, Big Banks Beat Q2 Estimates
by Mark Vickery
Today's PPI numbers were not quite as accommodating as yesterday's CPI.
WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change
banking earnings inflation
Markets Sell the News After Satisfying CPI
by Mark Vickery
The Inflation Rate came in better than expected for a soft landing, but the S&P and Nasdaq posted their worst trading day in two months.
WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change NKENegative Net Change AAPositive Net Change FDXPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate retail
Small Cap Breakout: Can it Finally Stick?
by Andrew Rocco
Lower inflation means lower interest rates - a bullish sign for small-cap stocks into year-end.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change IWMPositive Net Change TNAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate
CPI, Jobless Claims Brings Goldilocks Scenario
by Mark Vickery
Today brings us the slimmest Inflation Rate we've seen since March 2021 -- back when inflation was going the opposite direction.
DALPositive Net Change PEPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings inflation interest-rate staffing
Markets Race Ahead Before CPI Data Thursday
by Mark Vickery
It was the single-best trading day on the Dow since May, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted yet more all-time closing highs.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
Pre-Markets Creep Higher Ahead of Powell & Busy Late Week
by Mark Vickery
Both CPI data and Q2 earnings season begin hit the tape tomorrow morning. Meanwhile, pre-market futures creep ever higher.
WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change DALPositive Net Change PEPPositive Net Change INTUNegative Net Change
ad-tech advertising earnings inflation interest-rate
Powell Sees Cooling Economy, Traders See Coming Rate Cut
by Mark Vickery
It's doubtful big market moves will happen before big inflation data comes out later this week.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
BLS Jobs +206K, Big Downward Revisions
by Mark Vickery
Job revisions to the previous two months reached triple-digits, -110K, to 218K in May and 108K in April.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
aerospace business-services construction inflation interest-rate staffing
ADP Payrolls +150K; Jobless Claims Climb Higher
by Mark Vickery
While ADP private-sector payrolls were light of estimates, new and longer-term jobless claims reached new multi-year highs.
ADPPositive Net Change STZNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change PARANo Net Change
inflation interest-rate retail staffing
Holiday-Shortened Jobs Week: What Would Downward Surprises Bring?
by Mark Vickery
Projections currently are for fewer than 200K new jobs filled last month and more than 230K new jobless claims for last week.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
construction inflation interest-rate staffing
Top Stocks to Consider After Cooler PCE Data
by Shaun Pruitt
On Friday, Core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflationary measure optimistically reflected a 0.1% uptick in May compared to a 0.3% increase in April.
AMZNNegative Net Change BACPositive Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change
artificial-intelligence dividends e-commerce earnings inflation internet investing large-cap magnificent-7 retail tech-stocks
PCE Keeps "Soft Landing" Intact, Pre-Markets Shrinking
by Mark Vickery
The good news from a wider perspective is that we're back down, consistently, to inflation levels we haven't seen in more than three years.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate
Big Jumps for RIVN, CCL, FDX and NVDA Today
by Mark Vickery
Both Carnival and FedEx beat earnings today, while Rivian got a major partner in VW, and NVIDIA returned to being NVIDIA.
CCLNegative Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change FDXPositive Net Change RIVNNegative Net Change
earnings electric-vehicles inflation transportation travel-leisure
Case-Shiller Home Prices Cooling; FedEx After the Close
by Mark Vickery
April home prices came down slightly to +6.3% according to Case-Shiller data. FedEx is expected to fetch +8% earnings growth.
FDXPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples home-builder inflation interest-rate real-estate
PCE, Housing, Earnings to Inform Trading Week
by Mark Vickery
Reports this week will help inform the Fed on how to adjust inflation rates in the (near?) future.
NKENegative Net Change GISNegative Net Change MUPositive Net Change FDXPositive Net Change
banking earnings home-builder inflation interest-rate real-estate
Are Microcaps a Good Proxy for Private Equity?
by Mark Zinski
Here we discuss how microcap stocks can offer a flavor of private equity while also offering some unique advantages.
VLGEAPositive Net Change TAYDNegative Net Change MCEMPositive Net Change
aerospace basic-materials construction defense etfs inflation infrastructure
June PMI After the Bell: Headed for a Green Week?
by Mark Vickery
We expect to see growth on both S&P Services and Manufacturing PMI later this morning.
AAPLPositive Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change
artificial-intelligence industrial-products inflation interest-rate
Retail Sales Add to Cooling Narrative; Pre-Markets Up
by Mark Vickery
This morning's Retail Sales continue the narrative of a cooling economy, if a tad less steady compared with other metrics of late.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples industrial-products inflation retail
PPI Wholesale Shrinks, Jobless Claims Jump
by Mark Vickery
Final demand in goods dropped -0.8% last month, led by -7.1% in wholesale gasoline costs.
AVGOPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
artificial-intelligence basic-materials earnings inflation interest-rate semiconductor
Fed, Powell Lay Out Inflation Expectations
by Mark Vickery
"We saw today's CPI report as progress and building confidence, but it does not warrant changing policy at this time."
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary inflation interest-rate
Europe, Asia Rates Stay Put: Global Week Ahead
by John Blank
Central Bank decisions in Europe, from the U.K., Switzerland and Norway, are expected to provide more evidence that the global rate-cutting dash is slowing to a crawl.
DDNegative Net Change HENKYNegative Net Change ASMIYPositive Net Change
banking emerging-markets inflation interest-rate