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Here's Why Investors Should Give Landstar Stock a Miss Now

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Key Takeaways

  • {\"0\":\"Landstar\'s Q3 2025 earnings estimate dropped 7.35% in the past 60 days.\",\"1\":\"Landstar shares are down 22.7% YTD, underperforming the trucking industry.\",\"2\":\"Reduced freight demand and truck overcapacity continue to pressure Landstar\'s revenues.\"}

Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR - Free Report) is currently mired in multiple headwinds, which, we believe, have made it an unimpressive investment option.

Let’s delve deeper.

LSTR: Key Risks to Watch

Southward Earnings Estimate Revision: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2025 earnings has moved 7.35% south in the past 60 days. For the current year, the consensus mark for earnings has been revised to 3.89% downward in the same time frame. The unfavorable estimate revisions indicate brokers’ lack of confidence in the stock.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Dim Price Performance: The company’s price trend reveals that its shares have lost 22.7% so far this year compared with the transportation-truck industry’s 14.7% decline.

LSTR Stock YTD Price Comparison

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Weak Zacks Rank and Style Score:LSTR currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). The company’s current Value Score of D shows its unattractiveness.

Negative Earnings Surprise History: LSTR has a disappointing earnings surprise history. The company’s earnings lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters (outpaced the mark in the remaining quarter), delivering an average miss of 2.82%.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Earnings Expectations: Downbeat earnings expectations cast a shadow over a company’s prospects. For third-quarter 2025, LSTR’s earnings are expected to decline 10.64% year over year. For 2025, LSTR’s earnings are expected to decline 14.7% year over year.

Other Headwinds:LSTR is being hurt by reduced demand for freight services and increased truck capacity. Due to the demand weakness, shipment volumes and rates are low. The top line has been suffering mainly due to the below-par performance of its key segment, namely, truck transportation. Revenues are likely to be weak in the future as well.

The truck industry, of which Landstar is an integral part, has been persistently battling a driver shortage for several years. As old drivers are retiring, trucking companies are finding it difficult to find new drivers to take their place since the low-paying job mostly does not appeal to the younger generation.

The still-high inflation reading continues to hurt consumer sentiment and growth expectations. With labor and material costs showing no signs of letting off, the ability to pass these increases through to the consumer will determine the profitability of trucking companies like LSTR.

Bearish Industry Rank 

The industry to which LSTR belongs currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 213 (out of 248 groups). Such a weak rank places the industry in the bottom 13% of the Zacks industries. Studies have shown that 50% of a stock price movement is directly tied to the performance of the industry group that it hails from.

In fact, a robust stock in a weak industry is likely to underperform an ordinary stock in a strong group. Therefore, considering the industry’s performance becomes imperative.

Stocks to Consider

Investors interested in the Transportation sector may also consider LATAM Airlines Group (LTM - Free Report) and The Greenbrier Companies (GBX - Free Report) .

LTM currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

LTM has an expected earnings growth rate of 45% for the current year. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters, missed once and met in the remaining two quarters, delivering an average beat of 4.04%.

GBX currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Greenbrier has an expected earnings growth rate of 33% for the current year. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and met once, delivering an average beat of 70%.


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Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) (GBX) - free report >>

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) - free report >>

Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) - free report >>

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