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Compared to Estimates, Vistra (VST) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

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Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reported $4.25 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.5%. EPS of $1.01 for the same period compares to $0.90 a year ago.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.99 billion, representing a surprise of -14.8%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +3.06%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.98.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Vistra performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Total retail electricity sales volumes: 33,267.00 GWh versus 35,391.30 GWh estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Retail: $756 million compared to the $462.23 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Texas: $142 million compared to the $173.6 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Corporate and Other: $-16 million versus $183.27 million estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- West: $49 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $23.25 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- East: $418 million versus $518.55 million estimated by two analysts on average.

View all Key Company Metrics for Vistra here>>>

Shares of Vistra have returned +5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.9% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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