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Here's Why Vistra Corp. (VST) Fell More Than Broader Market

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Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) closed at $191.37 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.77% move from the prior day. The stock's performance was behind the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.4%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a drop of 0.98%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 0.18%.

Heading into today, shares of the company had gained 9.94% over the past month, outpacing the Utilities sector's loss of 0.96% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.97%.

The upcoming earnings release of Vistra Corp. will be of great interest to investors. The company's earnings report is expected on August 7, 2025. In that report, analysts expect Vistra Corp. to post earnings of $1.32 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 46.67%. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $5.26 billion, reflecting a 36.83% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.

Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $6.45 per share and revenue of $22.2 billion, indicating changes of -7.86% and +28.91%, respectively, compared to the previous year.

Any recent changes to analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. should also be noted by investors. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the business outlook.

Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To benefit from this, we have developed the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model which takes these estimate changes into account and provides an actionable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 3.48% higher within the past month. At present, Vistra Corp. boasts a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

Investors should also note Vistra Corp.'s current valuation metrics, including its Forward P/E ratio of 30.22. This denotes a premium relative to the industry average Forward P/E of 18.15.

We can additionally observe that VST currently boasts a PEG ratio of 2.29. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. Utility - Electric Power stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 2.64 based on yesterday's closing prices.

The Utility - Electric Power industry is part of the Utilities sector. This industry, currently bearing a Zacks Industry Rank of 94, finds itself in the top 39% echelons of all 250+ industries.

The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Be sure to use Zacks.com to monitor all these stock-influencing metrics, and more, throughout the forthcoming trading sessions.

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