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The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Travelers, Allstate and Mercury General
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For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – January 15, 2025 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: The Travelers Companies (TRV - Free Report) , The Allstate Corp. (ALL - Free Report) and Mercury General Corp. (MCY - Free Report) .
Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:
Homeowners Insurance Struggles as California Wildfires Rage On
Homeowners' insurers have been facing the heat of the wildfire that continues in Southern California. According to reports, this could be the most devastating and expensive wildfire in the nation’s history. Per The Guardian report, while at least 24 people have lost their lives, thousands have been displaced. The fire has destroyed more than 12,000 structures and led to evacuation orders for 0.1 million people.
Analysts at Wells Fargo Securities estimate losses from this wildfire to be between $20 billion and $40 billion, largely affecting homeowners' insurance. These analysts project about 85% of the losses to stem from homeowners' insurance policies, 13.5% from commercial property and 1.5% from personal auto. AccuWeather expects damage and economic losses between $250 billion and $275 billion. Many of the insurers have lowered their exposure in California, making it even worse for residents in California.
Insurers like The Travelers Companies, The Allstate Corp., Mercury General Corp., which still have significant operations in California, have lost 3.9%, 4.8% and 22.7%, respectively, in the last two trading sessions.
How Are the Insurers Placed?
About 10.4% of Travelers Companies direct written premiums in 2024 came from California. Though this Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) insurer is yet to estimate its losses, in May 2024, Travelers had increased its insurance rates in California by an average of 15%, attributable to wildfire risks, inflation and escalating reinsurance costs.
California accounted for 9.6% of Allstate’s 2023 statutory direct premiums. However, the company is no longer writing new homeowners’ business in California and Florida, the most affected states due to catastrophes. Since Dec. 31, 2022, policies-in-force has declined by an average of approximately 7% in these two states. The insurer may take further action to reduce exposure. ALL carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Mercury General is primarily engaged in writing personal automobile insurance and provides related property and casualty insurance products to its customers through 12 subsidiaries in 11 states, principally in California. About 80% of its 2023 premiums came from California. This Zacks Rank #3 insurer estimates losses from the wildfire to exceed its reinsurance retention level of $150 million, with a reinsurance program that provides $1.29 billion in limits per occurrence.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
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The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Travelers, Allstate and Mercury General
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – January 15, 2025 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: The Travelers Companies (TRV - Free Report) , The Allstate Corp. (ALL - Free Report) and Mercury General Corp. (MCY - Free Report) .
Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:
Homeowners Insurance Struggles as California Wildfires Rage On
Homeowners' insurers have been facing the heat of the wildfire that continues in Southern California. According to reports, this could be the most devastating and expensive wildfire in the nation’s history. Per The Guardian report, while at least 24 people have lost their lives, thousands have been displaced. The fire has destroyed more than 12,000 structures and led to evacuation orders for 0.1 million people.
Analysts at Wells Fargo Securities estimate losses from this wildfire to be between $20 billion and $40 billion, largely affecting homeowners' insurance. These analysts project about 85% of the losses to stem from homeowners' insurance policies, 13.5% from commercial property and 1.5% from personal auto. AccuWeather expects damage and economic losses between $250 billion and $275 billion. Many of the insurers have lowered their exposure in California, making it even worse for residents in California.
Insurers like The Travelers Companies, The Allstate Corp., Mercury General Corp., which still have significant operations in California, have lost 3.9%, 4.8% and 22.7%, respectively, in the last two trading sessions.
How Are the Insurers Placed?
About 10.4% of Travelers Companies direct written premiums in 2024 came from California. Though this Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) insurer is yet to estimate its losses, in May 2024, Travelers had increased its insurance rates in California by an average of 15%, attributable to wildfire risks, inflation and escalating reinsurance costs.
California accounted for 9.6% of Allstate’s 2023 statutory direct premiums. However, the company is no longer writing new homeowners’ business in California and Florida, the most affected states due to catastrophes. Since Dec. 31, 2022, policies-in-force has declined by an average of approximately 7% in these two states. The insurer may take further action to reduce exposure. ALL carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Mercury General is primarily engaged in writing personal automobile insurance and provides related property and casualty insurance products to its customers through 12 subsidiaries in 11 states, principally in California. About 80% of its 2023 premiums came from California. This Zacks Rank #3 insurer estimates losses from the wildfire to exceed its reinsurance retention level of $150 million, with a reinsurance program that provides $1.29 billion in limits per occurrence.
Why Haven't You Looked at Zacks' Top Stocks?
Since 2000, our top stock-picking strategies have blown away the S&P's +7.0 average gain per year. Amazingly, they soared with average gains of +44.9%, +48.4% and +55.2% per year.
Today you can access their live picks without cost or obligation.
See Stocks Free >>
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.