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CINF Stock Rises 47.1% YTD: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
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Shares of Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF - Free Report) have rallied 47.1% year to date (YTD), outperforming the industry’s 28.2% growth. The insurer also outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Finance sector’s return of 27.7% and 21.3%, respectively, YTD. With a market capitalization of $23.79 billion, the average volume of shares traded in the last three months was 0.5 million.
CINF Outperformed Industry, Sector, S&P
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) property and casualty insurance's bottom line outpaced estimates in three of the trailing four quarters while missed in one, the average surprise being 12.54%.
The rally was driven by a higher level of insured exposure, rate increases, agent-focused business models, consistent cash flow and effective capital deployment.
CINF Trading Above 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Average
Currently priced at $152.22, the stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $146.82 and $128.89, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum. SMA is a widely used technical analysis tool to predict future price trends by analyzing historical price data.
CINF’s Growth Projection Encourages
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cincinnati Financial’s 2024 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 4.6%. The consensus estimate for revenues is pegged at $9.92 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 11.6%. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share and revenues indicates an increase of 14.9% and 12.7%, respectively, from the 2024 estimates.
CINF’s Favorable Return on Capital
Return on equity in the trailing 12 months was 8.2%, better than the industry average of 7.7%. This highlights the company’s efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds.
Can the Stock Retain the Momentum?
Prudent pricing, an agent-centric model, a higher level of insured exposures and disciplined expansion of Cincinnati Re should benefit premiums, the primary driver of an insurer’s top line. CINF boasts above-average industry premium growth.
The Excess and Surplus line has been performing well since its inception in 2008. This segment should continue to benefit from new business-written premiums, higher renewal-written premiums and higher average renewal estimated pricing. Technology and data are also used to identify new exposures in emerging businesses.
Improving interest income from fixed-maturity securities and a decrease in equity portfolio dividends in an improved rate environment should drive net investment income.
Notably, its free cash flow conversion has remained more than 150% over the last few quarters, reflecting its solid earnings.
CINF’s Wealth Distribution
In terms of capital management, Cincinnati Financial has returned capital to its shareholders through share buybacks, regular cash dividends as well as special dividends. The board of directors had increased the annual cash dividend rate for 64 consecutive years. Its dividend yield of 2.1% is better than the industry average of 0.2%, making the stock an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors. The dividend increases reflected strong operating performance and signaled management's and the board's positive outlook and confidence in outstanding capital, liquidity and financial flexibility.
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks from the property and casualty insurance industry are First American Financial Corporation. (FAF - Free Report) , Root, Inc. (ROOT - Free Report) and The Allstate Corporation (ALL - Free Report) . While First American and Root sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) each, The Allstate carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for First American’s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 7.1% and 30.6%, respectively. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FAF’s 2024 and 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 1.2% and 17.1%, respectively. Year to date, shares of FAF have inched up 1.8%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Root’s 2024 and 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 147.9% and 3.8%. It beat earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 127.21%. Year to date, shares of ROOT have skyrocketed 627.9%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for The Allstate’s 2024 and 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 1611.58% and 17.8%, respectively. It beat earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 135.21%. Year to date, shares of ALL have gained 40.2%.
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CINF Stock Rises 47.1% YTD: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
Shares of Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF - Free Report) have rallied 47.1% year to date (YTD), outperforming the industry’s 28.2% growth. The insurer also outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Finance sector’s return of 27.7% and 21.3%, respectively, YTD. With a market capitalization of $23.79 billion, the average volume of shares traded in the last three months was 0.5 million.
CINF Outperformed Industry, Sector, S&P
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) property and casualty insurance's bottom line outpaced estimates in three of the trailing four quarters while missed in one, the average surprise being 12.54%.
The rally was driven by a higher level of insured exposure, rate increases, agent-focused business models, consistent cash flow and effective capital deployment.
CINF Trading Above 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Average
Currently priced at $152.22, the stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $146.82 and $128.89, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum. SMA is a widely used technical analysis tool to predict future price trends by analyzing historical price data.
CINF’s Growth Projection Encourages
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cincinnati Financial’s 2024 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 4.6%. The consensus estimate for revenues is pegged at $9.92 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 11.6%. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share and revenues indicates an increase of 14.9% and 12.7%, respectively, from the 2024 estimates.
CINF’s Favorable Return on Capital
Return on equity in the trailing 12 months was 8.2%, better than the industry average of 7.7%. This highlights the company’s efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds.
Can the Stock Retain the Momentum?
Prudent pricing, an agent-centric model, a higher level of insured exposures and disciplined expansion of Cincinnati Re should benefit premiums, the primary driver of an insurer’s top line. CINF boasts above-average industry premium growth.
The Excess and Surplus line has been performing well since its inception in 2008. This segment should continue to benefit from new business-written premiums, higher renewal-written premiums and higher average renewal estimated pricing. Technology and data are also used to identify new exposures in emerging businesses.
Improving interest income from fixed-maturity securities and a decrease in equity portfolio dividends in an improved rate environment should drive net investment income.
Notably, its free cash flow conversion has remained more than 150% over the last few quarters, reflecting its solid earnings.
CINF’s Wealth Distribution
In terms of capital management, Cincinnati Financial has returned capital to its shareholders through share buybacks, regular cash dividends as well as special dividends. The board of directors had increased the annual cash dividend rate for 64 consecutive years. Its dividend yield of 2.1% is better than the industry average of 0.2%, making the stock an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors. The dividend increases reflected strong operating performance and signaled management's and the board's positive outlook and confidence in outstanding capital, liquidity and financial flexibility.
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks from the property and casualty insurance industry are First American Financial Corporation. (FAF - Free Report) , Root, Inc. (ROOT - Free Report) and The Allstate Corporation (ALL - Free Report) . While First American and Root sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) each, The Allstate carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for First American’s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 7.1% and 30.6%, respectively. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FAF’s 2024 and 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 1.2% and 17.1%, respectively. Year to date, shares of FAF have inched up 1.8%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Root’s 2024 and 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 147.9% and 3.8%. It beat earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 127.21%. Year to date, shares of ROOT have skyrocketed 627.9%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for The Allstate’s 2024 and 2025 revenues implies year-over-year growth of 1611.58% and 17.8%, respectively. It beat earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 135.21%. Year to date, shares of ALL have gained 40.2%.